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Republican convention on Sep 02, 2004

Arms sales to Taiwan `an obstacle' to US-China ties
AFP , BEIJING

US arms sales to Taiwan are the main obstacle to developing Sino-US relations and should be re-examined if ties are to make progress, a senior Chinese official was quoted as saying yesterday.

Chinese Vice-Foreign Minister Zhou Wenzhong said other obstacles are the "politicization" by the US of human rights issues and its interference in Hong Kong's internal affairs.

"These issues have created impediments to the growth of Sino-US relations," the China Daily quoted Zhou as saying to 70 experts and academics from China and the United States at a conference.

He also said the US presidential election had complicated the momentum of Sino-US relations, without specifying what he meant.

On Monday President George W. Bush's Republican party warned that the US would not tolerate any Chinese military moves against Taiwan. It also expressed "profound disagreements" over China's human rights record.

Zhou, in charge of affairs relating to the Americas, Oceania, Hong Kong and Taiwan, said arms sales would not only seriously undermine Sino-US ties but harm the interests of the US.

"We're especially concerned about the sales of large quantities of advanced weapons to Taiwan and enhancement of military ties between the United States and Taiwan," he said.

"In so doing, Taiwan independence forces will be emboldened to go down the road to Taiwan's independence as far as possible."

"Currently, what is most important for the United States is to translate into reality its commitment to the one-China policy and opposition to Taiwan's independence. In particular to stop upgrading relations with Taiwan and selling it advanced weapons," Zhou said.

Zhou was addressing the China Reform Forum, a think-tank of China's Central Party School and the US Rand Corporation, a non-profit research organization.

He quoted late Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping's remarks on Taiwan, saying that if the issue was mishandled, it "could become an explosive issue, and the Chinese people cannot and will not swallow such a bitter pill."

 

 

Henry Lee harms own reputation and probe

 

By Chin Heng-wei

Forensic scientist Henry Lee has completed his report on the March 19 assassination attempt on President Chen Shui-bian. But before its release, he has already been talking to the media in New York, revealing some of his conclusions. Can this report give us the truth about what happened on March 19? It seems unlikely.

Lee publicly stated that his report is wholly based on evidence, but the the evidence so far has been insufficient. Lee has consistently said that politics would not influence his investigation, but he also insisted that the shooting was not an assassination attempt on the president and vice president. His reason for that conclusion is that had it been an assassination attempt, the shooter would have used a more powerful weapon.

Are these conclusions from evidence in Lee's supposed "investigation," or deductions based on his personal experience? In departing so much from the rules of evidence, he is in danger of losing his standing as a forensic expert by entering the biased arena of politics.

First, Lee did not make clear what he meant by "political assassination." Surely any violence directed against the president or vice president is "political"? And shooting at either of these persons -- whether the assassination is successful or not -- must surely constitute an attempt at "political assassination"? So in denying that the March 19 shooting was a political assassination attempt, what is Lee's proof? By being so unclear he provides further ammunition for endless political debate over the incident and makes it more difficult to discover what actually happened.

Second, Lee stated even before the investigation that the shooting was not a "political assassination" attempt. Now, after his "investigation," he remains fixed in this opinion. This leads us to ask whether an expert investigation was even required. Much time, effort and money has been spent but ultimately the report has done nothing to settle matters.

In making this "political judgment" Lee has left his realm of expertise and shown his naivety. If Lee said that the caliber of the handmade gun was not powerful enough to make the shooting an assassination, then do we even need to consider whether it was politically motivated or not?

To say that the weapon was insufficiently powerful is a purely subjective judgement, and it still needs to be proven. According to the chief medical officer of the Chi Mei Hospital who treated Chen, the president came within a few millimeters of suffering a serious or even fatal injury. Clearly the weapon was powerful enough to kill the president, and the only reason it failed was good fortune.

Lee also said that the assassin must have had some experience and knowledge of guns and bullet design. In other words, he was a professional. To hit Chen, who was traveling in a motorcade, was no easy matter, and to call this person a "pro" is probably an understatement. Also, by rejecting the use of a conventional weapon and opting for a modified one for such an assignment, he was clearly showing his exceptional skill.

By making Lee misjudge him, the assassin has succeeded with a modern version of the burglar Arsene Lupin outsmarting supersleuth Sherlock Holmes.

I have nothing to say against Lee's expertise in his field. But now that he has stepped into the arena of political commentary, the holes in his argument are so obvious that he is damaging his professional reputation. He can do what he likes with his reputation -- but it is a far more serious matter to muddy the waters of this important investigation.

Chin Heng-wei is editor-in-chief of Contemporary Monthly magazine.

Translated by Ian Bartholomew

 

China should trust Taiwan's goodwill

President Chen Shui-bian suddenly cancelled an annual live-fire military exercise on his way to Panama and Belize on Tuesday. The drill, the final part of the Hankuang No. 20 exercise, was originally set for Sept. 9 in southern Taiwan. According to Chen, there are signs that China's troops are withdrawing from Dongshan Island, where they had planned to hold a military exercise in early September. Therefore, he decided to cancel the drill to show Taiwan's goodwill, even though the Chinese government has not confirmed their military withdrawal.

Later, when visiting Pearl Harbor during his stopover in Hawaii, he gave an unscripted talk in which he cited the Pacific theater of World War II as an example. He said that the US and Japan were in fact enemies half a century ago, but they are friends today. He also said that the two sides of the Taiwan Strait should learn from this great example.

Indeed, the Pearl Harbor attack in 1941 triggered the Pacific War, and the historical wound caused by the two atomic bombs also exists. But after half a century, the US and Japan are already military and diplomatic partners working to maintain peace and stability in the western Pacific region. This development proves that no conflict in the international community cannot be resolved.

The following day, the issue with the repatriation of illegal Chinese immigrants that has been left in limbo since the presidential election in March was resolved. Through Taiwan's and China's Red Cross organizations, China accepted the return of 178 illegal immigrants from Taiwan, and returned five Taiwanese criminals to Taiwan. In a statement, the Mainland Affairs Council said China plans to receive yet another group of illegal immigrants on Sept. 10. After a long period of tense relations across the Taiwan Strait, even such a small easing of tension is enough to be exciting.

China has for a long time posed a military threat to Taiwan, and it keeps around 600 missiles aimed at Taiwan along its southern coast, forcing Taiwan to find ways to defend itself -- partly through R&D and arms purchases, partly by strengthening its military.

Apart from having missiles aimed at Taiwan, the People's Liberation Army's exercise on Dongshan Island is clearly targeted at Taiwan. Dongshan Island is located in the southern part of the Taiwan Strait, only 181km from the Penghu islands and 307km from Kaohsiung. The exercise mainly consists of simulated landings and clearly mimics the capture of Penghu.

The people of Taiwan normally repay one good deed with another, which means that if your opponent gives you a gift, you have to give him something in return. Chen's initiative in responding to the military retreat from Dongshan Island serves to further underline Taiwan's goodwill. If China does not pose a military threat to us, there is no need for us to strengthen our military.

We sincerely hope that the warmth being shown across the Strait recently is an indication of a more constructive relationship, rather than one-off incidents.

China should build greater confidence in the goodwill of nations made up of the same race and speaking the same language. Once China and Taiwan put aside enmity and choose to engage in the spirit of friendship, they could become the strongest allies in the Western Pacific. We also hope that China will understand the Taiwanese way of doing things, namely that we will repay one good turn with another, so that Taiwan might eventually become China's closest friend.

 

 

Taiwan has Swedish friends

Johan Pehrson, Chairman of the parliament justice committee, and Axel Darvik, Mia Franzen, Karin Granbom, Anna Gronlund-Krantz, Tobias Gronlund-Krantz, Torkild Strandberg, Cecilia Wigstrom, members of parliament
Swedish Liberal Party

As Liberal Party parliamentarians from Sweden visiting Taiwan, we are learning that there are worries here that some European political leaders are more interested in selling weapons to China than in supporting democracy in Taiwan. We would like to assure the Taiwanese people that there are European politicians sympathetic to their situation and vehemently opposed to any loosening up of the EU embargo banning weapons exports to China.

It is no secret that the French government, one of the most influential in the EU, has not only been pushing to abolish the arms embargo, but has held joint fleet exercises with the Chinese in the Pacific. We recognize that it is in every nation's interest to enjoy good relations with China, but the attitude taken by the French government on this issue exposes a lack of understanding of the perils and threats posed by a huge authoritarian state armed with modern weapons. These weapons can and will be used to threaten, pacify and oppress the Chinese and Taiwanese people. The misjudgement by some European politicians of the dangers of emboldening Chinese expansionism must be resisted.

Therefore, our party regularly brings up the Taiwan issue for debate and pressures the Swedish government to protest Chinese hardline policies. Additionally, liberals in the European parliament constantly oppose the policies, from either left or right, to unnecessarily bow to Chinese pressure.

The Swedish parliament has a Taiwan friendship association numbering 20 percent of all legislators, with members from the government coalition, including the long-ruling social democrats. Members of the association take notice of and bring into the public arena any Swedish government action which is excessively accommodating to China's expansionism or fails to constructively push to expand Taiwan's international space and participation.

It is a historical fact that democracies have never waged war against other democracies. We believe that a democratization of China will definitely secure peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait. Democracies thus need to pursue a responsible policy of a good, stable and growing political and economic relationship with China to facilitate that nation's transition to democracy.

Taiwan's success is a natural model for the rest of Asia to emulate in both politics and economics. Taiwan has our admiration for its stubborn perseverance in liberty and democracy and we will continue to push for Taiwan's legitimate interests internationally whenever we can.

 

 

Dr. Lee, I don't agree

John Napiorkowski
Taipei

I was stunned to hear a supposed "professional, world renowned" investigator repeat his conclusion that the presidential shooting was not a political assassination. His reason: the gun was not one that a political assassin would use. Did Dr. [Henry] Lee ever consider that perhaps the party behind the shooting (let's say China, for argument's sake) may have used this particular weapon to make it look less like a textbook political assassination?

If a professional weapon was used (and discovered to be such), does he not think that China would be looked at more suspiciously by the US and the rest of the world? Let's go one step further. If that bullet went an inch more to the left and [President] Chen [Shui-bian] was killed and it was found that a "political assassin's weapon" was used, serious momentum would be created for an unwanted conflict in the Taiwan Strait. However, what Dr. Lee fails to contemplate (publicly at least) is that if Chen was killed by this homemade gun, China would have its cake and could eat it too -- without any indigestion whatsoever. I don't question Dr. Lee's integrity -- I question his impartiality.

 

 

 

 

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