August 14, 2000 --- To: Kofi A. Annan, Trent Lott, Denny Hastert

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Taiwan Tati Cultural
And Educational Foundation
B16F, No.3 Ta-Tun 2nd St.
Taichung, Taiwan, ROC
August 14, 2000.

Dear Mr. Kofi A. Annan,
¡@¡@ Mr. Trent Lott,
¡@¡@ Mr. Denny Hastert,

July 24, 2000, ---

The G8 summit in Okinawa came to a close with the announcement of a final communique. Due to the divergent stances of the member nations, the annual powwow had difficulty reaching consensus on major international security issues and resolving economic problems. We are left with empty slogans that make the whole summit look more like a summer vacation trip by the eight heads of state.

We are also disappointed by the fact that security in the Taiwan Strait was left off the agenda. However, we also understand the very fact that the summit was held in Okinawa took on a highly sensitive and strategic significance. Never has a G8 summit been held so close to Taiwan, not to say its backyard.

Okinawa is the most important of the United States' military bases in East Asia. Renowned Japanese commentator Yoichi Funabashi aptly described the G8 meeting as a "summit inside a military base."

One month before the summit, the Korean Peninsula went through its most dramatic change since the Cold War. The leaders of the two Koreas agreed to reconcile, do away with foreign intervention and seek "unification under self-reliance." The Pyongyang summit has had a major impact on the power balance in the entire region.

The tentative reconciliation between the two Koreas threw a spotlight on the question of whether the U.S. should withdraw its troops from South Korea and also brought the status of U.S. troops in Okinawa --75 percent of all the U.S. forces in Japan -- into debate again. What should be the function of the U.S. military presence in Asia? Should the U.S. continue to play the role of an "international cop?"

Following Pyongyang's promise to stop its missile development program, China, Russia and the two Koreas have voiced unanimous opposition to Washington's National Missile Defense and Theater Missile Defense programs. However, we must point out that mainland China remains the more ominous threat in Asia, a fact that Washington is unwilling to say out loud. As long as Beijing does not pull down its communist signboard, as long as the PLA's top-brass see no value in democracy and human rights, mainland China will remain the biggest threat in the region.

As long as mainland China remains a threat to regional security, the U.S. has no reason to withdraw its troops from Asia. Over the past few years, the U.S. has adopted an "engagement" policy toward Beijing.

But the policy has proven to be totally ineffective in checking mainland China's military threats, especially its intimidation of Taiwan. This is because even mainland Chinese President Jiang Zemin is unable to contain the PLA's trigger-hungry generals. As long as we do not know when they will embark upon some foolhardy military adventure, the U.S. will naturally have to maintain its military presence in Asia in order to ensure regional peace and security.

The RAND Corporation recently proposed a new "congagement" policy (containment and engagement). We believe it is a practical and necessary strategy that will make the mainland accept democratic values, undergo peaceful change and become a good neighbor in Asia.¡@

Given Taiwan's security and other interests, its position on the future of the U.S. troops in the region will be different from South Korea and Japan. Perhaps the biggest difference lies in the fact that we are facing a constant threat from a superpower to use military force against us.

In our view; we thought that Pyongyang¡¦s promise to stop its missile development program, is questionable for transient conciliation.

To create a mutual trust over political issues is only a idealist¡¦s dream that ¡§carrot or rod¡¨ means ¡§money or weapon¡¨ are useful for country-to-country¡¦s relationship.

Aug. 9, 2000 ---

The Ministry of National Defense (MND) issued its long-awaited military ¡§white paper¡¨ report, calling for cross-strait military exchanges and warning the government of Taiwan¡¦s vulnerability to saturation missile strikes from the mainland.

The ¡§2000 National Defense Report¡¨ officially mentions for the first time the military¡¦s plan to push for a mutual trust mechanism with mainland China¡¦s People¡¦s Liberation Army (PLA).

Top MND officials, including Defense Minister Wu Shih-wen, had hinted at such plans earlier, with the first step likely to include a hot-line to avoid any incidents that could accidentally touch off a war with the mainland.

Wu himself makes the case for such exchanges in the report¡¦s preface, adding that Taiwan has no desire to create a cross-strait arms race.¡@

While the report boasts that recent military upgrades had increased Taiwan¡¦s ability to take the initiative in any future conflict, it also took a cautionary note, saying that the PLA¡¦s ability to conduct multiple waves of missile strikes across the island posed a major danger to national security.

It says that such attacks would be ¡§the most seriously threatening form of a communist Chinese military invasion.¡¨

Similarly, the report says the PLA is now actively developing weapons of mass destruction, which it is less likely to use, as well as electronic warfare that could throw the nation¡¦s economy into chaos.

Such developments widely open mainland China¡¦s options should it decide to invade Taiwan.

The report also repeats caveats that mainland China¡¦s air force could win air supremacy over the Taiwan Strait after 2005.

It adds the PLA may set up special military units to invade Taiwan, and predicted that if mainland China close to take Taiwan by force, it would likely launch a maritime blockade coordinated with air bombardment and missile attacks.

The report says mainland China¡¦s current missile deployment along its southeastern coast is entirely targeted at Taiwan, estimating that the number of missiles deployed in the region will exceed 600 by 2005.

The ministry puts the PLA¡¦s current troop deployment in the Fujian military district facing Taiwan at 70, 000, but added that it can also move an additional 250,000 troops from its other military regions in a very short period of time.

The PLA could further mobilize up to 400,000 troops for an amphibious assault on Taiwan and its air force could drop at least two parachute regiments here, the report says.

That number would equal the entire active personnel of all of Taiwan¡¦s armed forces.

Notably absent from the report was mention of President Chen Shui-bian¡¦s call for military doctrine to focus on keeping the battleground of any future conflict off Taiwan proper.

However, the report did stress a move toward greater deterrence against PLA force, rather than a policy of passive defense.

The MND white paper was originally stated for publication in March but was reportedly delayed in order to allow the new Chen administration to have a say in its release.

Kashmir is one of the most volatile regions in the world and the source of international concern that an escalation of violence could lead to a larger conflict between India and Pakistan, the world¡¦s two newest nuclear powers.

¡§The next war over Kashmir could be nuclear¡¨ report said on Aug. 8, 2000. People urged peace without war that believing in religion for finding a shelter from heaven. Contrary to results that the religious conflict ignited more of massacre between difference believers. The peace offensive has not been reciprocated by India, who has demonstrated their traditional intransigence?

In Taiwan; the Minister of National Defense mentioned officially that military¡¦s plan to push for a mutual trust mechanism with mainland China¡¦s people¡¦s Liberation Army (PLA).

Taiwan issue is international affairs that could be a WW three in our world, if Cross-Strait¡¦s conflict with force in which nobody would be safe from devastation results.

In our view; the new world should build its peace-keeper¡¦s force that can do effect conciliation at anytime, everywhere.

Aug. 8, 2000 ---

A Kashmiri militant group called off its cease-fire with India on Tuesday after New Delhi refused to let Pakistan participate in talks aimed at settling the protracted Kashmir dispute.

Hezb-ul Mujahedeen chief Sayed Salahuddin accused India of squandering an opportunity for peace in its troubled Kashmir territory, where a secessionist uprising has been raging for 12 years.

India¡¦s reaction was quick.

¡§The Indian army has to take all precautions and steps to maintain security and safety of the people,¡¨ P.S. Bhatnagar, a spokesman for the Indian defense ministry said when asked whether the army would resume operations against Hezb-ul Mujahedeen.

The Indian military had suspended attacks against militants following the cease-fire offer.

Other militant groups refused to recognize the cease-fire, but the move was nonetheless considered the most significant breakthrough since the Muslim rebel insurgency in Indian-ruled Kashmir began in 1989.

¡§This peace offensive has not been reciprocated by India, who have demonstrated their traditional intransigence,¡¨ Salahuddin said at a news conference in the Pakistani capital, Islamabad.

Salahuddin said his militant group staked its reputation on the cease fire offer, which it made on July 24 and which India had welcomed.

Salahuddin¡¦s Hezb-ul Mujahedeen group was suspended from the United Jehad Council, an organization of 14 guerrilla groups fighting in Kashmir, following the cease-fire announcement.

¡§It needs to be pointed out that we put our entire credibility of 12 years at stake for our (desire) to facilitate a peaceful resolution,¡¨ to the 53-year-old Kashmir dispute, Salahuddin said.

Kashmir is one of the most volatile regions in the world and the source of international concern that an escalation of violence could lead to a larger conflict between India and Pakistan, the world¡¦s two newest nuclear powers.

Salahuddin warned that another war in the region was possible unless the Kashmir dispute is resolved.¡@

¡§The next war over Kashmir could well be nuclear,¡¨ he warned.

India has refused to include Pakistan in peace talks, accusing its neighbor of supporting the militants. Pakistan says its support is limited to political and moral help.

¡§The Republic of China is the only country in the world that is excluded from the United Nations after Tuvalu¡¦s admission to the United Nations,¡¨ said WuTzu-tan, Deputy Minister of MOFA, said in a press conference.

Taipei was expelled from the U.N after the body handed the seat to Beijing in 1971, despite the reality of the basic rights of 23 million people which living in a democratic country with prosperity and warmly heart to help to develop high respected human rights over Asia-Pacific region.

Under the fear of China¡¦s warning and some big deal of business that Mainland China has successfully blocked ROC¡¦s membership bids each time since 1994.

Taiwan was isolated by a series of Beijing¡¦s threat, that many advanced countries concede Beijing authority to interfere the spirits of international law were always the major reasons for inspiring communist China as to be a powerful nuclear country.

Do justice --- U.N. could be the last land for support small, weak, poor countries with shield and protect in which not any countries could damage the Human Rights.

We are worry about that world conflicts between nuclear force and human value were so much difference and widen its gaps in treating as a kind of power balance only.

The truth told us that power could handle the trial of international court over countries inner struggle with each other.

After world war two, we found the hope of justice in a short time because of people do not want to see massacre again, so we have a international law to support world¡¦s peace and basic human rights, but now, the newly era of The universes is changed by uprising against the old power¡¦s control over economic and weapon competition.

On the other hand; justice should support and human rights must protect, Taiwan needs help.

¡@¡@

Yours Sincerely,
Yang Hsu-Tung.
President
Taiwan Tati Cultural
And Educational Foundation

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