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Public servants heading to crisis
Wednesday, May 26, 2010, Page 8
May 20 was the second anniversary of President Ma Ying-jeou¡¦s (°¨^¤E)
inauguration. Over the last two years the government has perhaps attracted most
attention for the way it has strengthened economic and political ties with
China. Indeed, because this policy links Taiwan¡¦s development to that of China,
it has been the cause of much dispute ever since Ma came to power in 2008.
This is a controversy that shows no sign of going away despite intensive
government propaganda and deployment of its extensive administrative resources.
Ma may reason that although small and medium-sized enterprises, residents in
central and southern Taiwan and the lower and middle classes are most strongly
opposed to the policy, they are the least likely to vote for the Chinese
Nationalist Party (KMT). However, the truth is that military personnel, civil
servants and school teachers, who are generally cast as traditional supporters
of the KMT, may be the ultimate victims of this rash policy.
The salaries of military personnel, civil servants and school teachers are all
paid from the public purse. Whether their jobs will continue to be considered an
¡§iron rice bowl¡¨ depends on the extent to which economic development boosts
personal and national incomes. If the government¡¦s tax revenues are
insufficient, the least of its worries will be cutting or freezing wages for
public servants ¡X if the situation further deteriorates, there is a very real
threat not just to salaries, benefits and insurance, but to jobs. Even
retirement pensions accumulated over years could disappear overnight.
Historically, there are numerous examples of how poorly managed national
finances have caused difficulties for government agencies. A crisis broke out in
the Cayman Islands last year when the government failed to pay civil servants
and contractors. With a national income ranked 12th in the world, how could such
a situation happen? The problem arose because of the huge income gap between
rich and poor.
As a tax haven, the government of the Cayman Islands charges financial
institutions registered there huge annual operational fees, but they make no
direct contribution to local development. When the global financial crisis hit,
operational fees plummeted. This highlights the fact that impressive economic
statistics is one thing, improving standards of living is another. The problem
lies in uneven wealth distribution, not low incomes.
The government has set several new records during Ma¡¦s two years in office.
Government debt has increased by almost NT$900 billion (US$28 billion), while
annual tax revenues fell by NT$253.8 billion last year. Unemployment broke
through the 6 percent barrier and average real wages returned to a level last
seen 13 years ago. Of course the record-high GDP contraction can be blamed on an
unfavorable global macroeconomic environment and the situation is likely to
improve as the economy prospers. However, there are indications that the policy
to rapidly promote cross-strait economic and trade liberalization will have
unwanted effects.
While China¡¦s tax revenues and employment rate are likely to rise, it seems
inevitable that wealth centralization and income polarization will further climb
in Taiwan. As the average income of the salaried class drops, unemployment will
increase and military personnel, civil servants and school teachers will be less
likely to receive annual salary raises and bonuses. In particular, 70 percent of
government tax revenue comes from personal income tax. In the event that the
situation worsens, public servants could lose their jobs, not to mention their
18 percent preferential interest rate.
Other than Taiwan¡¦s economic reliance on China, the government is also preparing
to recognize Chinese academic credentials and open Taiwanese colleges and
universities to Chinese students, which is also expected to affect the
employment and promotion of military personnel, civil servants and school
teachers.
To curry favor with Beijing, Ma has put aside the issue of sovereignty and
declared a ¡§diplomatic truce.¡¨ In terms of military affairs, the use of secret
channels is a slap in the face to the diplomats who represent Taiwan around the
world and the military that safeguards national security.
Although they have not yet been called parasites, there is an increasingly
common feeling that public servants no longer know what they are fighting for.
The nation is paying a heavy price for Ma¡¦s pro-China policies.
Military personnel, civil servants and school teachers all rely on the
government, so the question arises what happens to them if the country perishes.
If Ma¡¦s plan for ¡§eventual unification¡¨ is ever carried out, they are likely to
suffer most. Take Hong Kong for example, where armed Chinese police have been
stationed since the 1997 handover and where civil servants and school teachers
often take to the streets in protest. Taiwan should watch and learn.
Public sector personnel should not take their current benefits for granted,
because every dollar comes from the taxpayer, not the president and his party.
If those in power push for a policy that places the interests of conglomerates
before those of the public, then they will also unavoidably erode the guarantees
traditionally given to military personnel, civil servants and school teachers.
When Ma introduces various pro-China measures through government agencies and
wastes taxpayers¡¦ money on propaganda, those executing his policies are not
displaying loyalty to party and state, they are committing suicide. Considering
the educational level of public servants, it is perhaps strange that they have
yet to notice the unenviable future that awaits them.
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