Opposition poll puts Tsai ahead of KMT
rival in Sinbei City
By Vincent Y. Chao / Staff Reporter
Democratic Progressive Party Chairperson and
Sinbei City mayoral candidate Tsai Ing-wen, right, listens as former president
Lee Teng-hui, left, proclaims his support for her at her election campaign
office in Banciao City, Taipei County, yesterday.
Photo: CNA
A recent Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) poll for the
Sinbei City mayoral race showed DPP candidate Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) slightly ahead
of her Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) rival, Eric Chu (朱立倫).
The survey, taken in the middle of last week, gave Tsai a 43.5 percent support
rate among voters in Taipei County — soon to be renamed Sinbei City — against
43.1 percent for Chu. While well within the margin of error, the numbers were
still at odds with most other recent media surveys, which have given Chu a
double-digit lead.
Dismissing the latest opposition party poll, Chu said that as long as his rival
“felt a bit more secure,” he would congratulate her and “continue to work hard
on my own campaign.”
A poll by the Chinese-language Apple Daily released on Monday last week showed
Chu leading Tsai 48 percent against 35 percent. Meanwhile, the Chinese-language
United Daily News claimed on Oct. 2 that Chu had 45 percent support to Tsai’s 28
percent.
In a press conference to explain the DPP survey, poll center director Chen Chun-lin
(陳俊麟) said the newest numbers were consistent with the two previous polls
conducted by the opposition party last month and in August. In both polls the
difference was within 1 percent, he said.
On Tsai’s small lead, he said the candidate received more support from younger
voters, with about 62 percent of voters between 20 and 29 expressing support for
her -campaign. Chu, he said, received more votes from middle class voters, with
51.8 percent from the 40 to 49 age bracket supporting his campaign.
Rejecting claims that Chu had far surpassed Tsai in the number of election
events held, the survey also pointed out that 20 percent of respondents said
that they had seen Tsai hold an election event in their neighborhood. The number
for Chu was 17 percent. The DPP survey polled 1,355 -voting-age respondents and
had a margin of error of 2.7 percent.
Former president Lee Teng-hui (李登輝) yesterday visited Tsai at her campaign
headquarters, saying he “especially supported” her and called on supporters to
give the DPP candidate a chance. If everyone stood together, he said, the DPP
would have a chance of winning all five mayoral seats in the Nov. 27 elections.
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