US report warns on
military imbalance
CALL TO ARMS: The Obama administration should
address Taiwan¡¦s defense needs and continue weapons sales to counter China¡¦s
growing military clout, the report says
By William Lowther / Staff reporter in WASHINGTON
A US congressional commission is warning that the cross-strait military balance
continues to shift decisively in favor of China, a draft of this year¡¦s report
to US Congress says.
The report by the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission recommends
that Congress urge US President Barack Obama to remain alert to the dangers and
says the Obama administration should continue talks with Taiwanese officials on
the nation¡¦s future defense needs.
Those talks should concentrate on ¡§sales of arms and equipment such as may be
necessary to offset the growing capabilities of the PLA [People¡¦s Liberation
Army] for coercive power projection,¡¨ it said.
The report, which will officially go to Congress next week, says that the
warming of relations between Taiwan and the People¡¦s Republic of China (PRC) has
significantly reduced tensions across the Taiwan Strait and the US should
support engagement between Taipei and Beijing.
¡§However, the underlying issues that divide the two sides remain,¡¨ it said.
¡§The deepening of cross-strait economic ties has not been matched by progress in
security ties,¡¨ it said.
According to the report, the PRC¡¦s military build-up continues to take place
amid ¡§constrained channels for crisis communication,¡¨ increasing regional
tensions over conflicting territorial claims and ¡§an ever present risk of
accident or miscalculation involving the armed forces of the two sides.¡¨
¡§Although it has tabled the issue for the time being, Beijing continues to
insist on movement towards political reunification,¡¨ the report said.
¡§The divisions that remain are rooted in issues of identity and sovereignty that
will not be easily resolved,¡¨ it said.
¡§As a supporter of the expansion of democratic freedoms around the world, it is
in the interests of the US to see Taiwan¡¦s status resolved peacefully and
without the coercion of its population,¡¨ it added.
The report says that the US Department of Defense estimates that the PLA Air
Force has 490 aircraft within unrefueled operational range of Taiwan.
At the same time, the PLA Second Artillery Corps has about 1,200 short-range
ballistic missiles based in southeastern coastal areas within range of Taiwan.
And this year, newer and more advanced aircraft and missiles with improved
ranges, payloads and accuracy have been introduced.
¡§Of particular concern to both Taiwan and US military defense planners is the
steadily increasing capacity of Chinese military forces to employ extended-range
strike warfare and other anti-access/area denial capabilities,¡¨ the report said.
¡§This growth in capabilities could seriously impact the future ability of the US
military to surge forces into the Western Pacific in the event of a major
regional contingency operation,¡¨ it said.
The report warns that Taiwan has been ¡§rocked¡¨ by revelations of highly damaging
cases of espionage conducted by military officers working for the PRC.
Such cases indicate ¡§continuing and concerted efforts by Chinese intelligence
services to penetrate military and national security agencies in Taiwan,¡¨ it
said.
Controversy continued throughout this year, regarding the possibility of US
sales of the more advanced C/D version of the F-16s requested by Taipei.
¡§There is some concern in the US and Taiwan that selling F-16C/Ds to Taiwan
would set back progress on cross-strait relations,¡¨ the report said.
¡§There are also concerns as to whether or not Taiwan could afford to fund the
upgrade of the F-16A/Bs as well as a potential purchase of the new F-16C/Ds,¡¨ it
said.
During the late spring and summer of this year, there were conflicting signals
as to whether or not Taiwan¡¦s government was still interested in buying the
F-16C/Ds.
Since then, there have been indications Taipei was giving serious consideration
to dropping the F-16C/D purchase request in favor of pressing for the sale of
even more advanced F-35 aircraft, it said.
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