Dear Mr. George W. Bush,

For want of a nail the kingdom was lost.

During the 9^th National People’s Congress (NPC), Jiang said that a strategy of “using soft to overcome hard” would be incorporated in response to Bush’s policy. Externally, China should maintain peaceful relations with the US, while internally, the Chinese people should be made to fully understand the hegemonist nature of the US. Technology and the military must be strengthened, and China must possess deterrent might in the form of arms and strategic nuclear weapons. The duality inherent in Jiang’s talk was thus laid bare – on the surface China should give the impression it wants a peaceful relationship with the US, while secretly it should be preparing for nuclear war. These words and actions have given the Bush government some facts to work with as it formulates its China policy. The US must fully prepare itself against an insane attack by China.

President Bill Clinton could find fault, that to prescribe a remedy with no hesitation is the only way nowadays.

The US has always wanted to influence the world’s oil market and prices as well. China is gradually joining the world’s consumer market for oil, and will soon become the largest oil consumer in the market, leading to an inevitable fight over the world’s oil and oil producing areas. The fight for control of the global oil resources has been the most significant factor in international conflicts, both economic and military, in the 20^th Century. From this perspective conflicts over global oil resources will have a long-term affect on Sino-US relations. Not long ago, the Iranian president visited Moscow – an indication of further cooperation between Iran and Russia. To oppose the US, Beijing might also join their camp, leading to an economic war between the pro-China the pro-US camp.

Despite condition require desperate remedies, Beijing-Washington relations are presently at a turning point. The US government has quietly adopted a policy of “engagement and encirclement” towards Beijing. The US uses “engagement” in situations favoring US interests. The ultimate aim is to force authoritarian China to delay development – buying some time while democratic forces within China begin to rise up – so as to wait for a transformation to democratization.

Several decades ago, the USSR developed nuclear weapons and strategic missiles. The people were destitute, yet the government nonetheless amassed more than 10,000 nuclear weapons – prepared to bomb Western countries at a moment’s notice.

Still, the authoritarian communist party never fired a single nuclear warhead. In the end, long-standing political authoritarianism and economic decline caused the USSR’s thunderous collapse, whereupon the people won democracy and freedom. In China, the war-crazy CCP blindly worships arms and violence, instead of putting its faith in democracy and freedom. If the CCP continues on its present line, it will follow the USSR’s road to ruin – gradually dragged down during its extreme arms race with the US. Will Jiang Zemin and other CCP leaders be able to learn a lesson from the collapse of the USSR? It seems unlikely. If they don’t, however, the CCP will only succeed in destroying itself.

In our viewpoint, that is the precondition of Taiwan-China’s reunification – democratic China.

Conclusions; it would be easier for Beijing and Washington to resolve their differences. Conflicts of interests could be addressed through negotiations – it wouldn’t be necessary for the two to engage in a military duel to the death. Beijing and Washington might not be able to become friendly strategic partners, but neither

is it written in stone that they should be bitter enemies.

China opposes the sale of crucial weapons to Taiwan for three reasons.

First, China worries about losing the PLA’s military advantage in the Strait. If Taiwan secures AEGIS-equipped destroyers or PAC-3 anti-missile batteries, or joins the US’ Theater Missile Defense system in the western Pacific region, then the PRC’s ballistic missile deployments will not be able to achieve the desired destructive impact nor will they have the desired psychological effect of intimidating Taiwan.

Second, China worries that Taiwan may form a military alliance with the US. If that happens Taiwan may firmly decline unification and possibly even declare independence. Under the circumstances, China would have to use military means to achieve unification, disrupting its program to consolidate the Chinese Communist Party regime and develop its economy.

Lastly, China is concerned that the Bush administration may revise the US’ China policy extensively and adopt a strategy of both containing and engaging China. As a result, Beijing-Washington relations and global strategic interactions may be forced to change.

The three parties – China, the US and Taiwan – do not therefore have completely conflicting positions and goals as far as arms sales are concerned. Maintaining the status quo is their common focus. All three want to deal with cross-strait relations by peaceful means, and safeguard peace and stability in the Strait. Taipei and Washington share a common view about strengthening Taiwan’s capabilities for self-defense.

Beijing apparently holds different military and political standpoints in this regard. As a result, the arms sales issue not only influences Taiwan’s security, but may affect Beijing’s and Washington’s strategic security relations in East Asia and around the globe.

If Taiwan were ruined by China’s hegemony, that defense of Pacific-Asia would be lost.

With the codes, Taiwanese fighter planes and warships will be able to communicate with US fighter planes and warships at any time, which is proof of the military alliance that is steadily taking shape between the two countries.

The spy plane situation is creating serious problems for US-China relations at the start of the administration of President George W. Bush and complication his decision on what new arms to sell Taiwan.

History is the world’s mirrors.

China’s principal focus is regional targets such as Vietnam, South Korea, North Korea, Japan, Indonesia and the Philippines, as well as US military operations in the area. But China’s planes – and those of other countries, for that matter – are not thought to be shadowing the borders of the US mainland.

To concern of the future conflicts than those of the business deal with “competition”.

China’s rise in the international arena is an undeniable reality. However, Beijing remains totally obvious to international trade and economic rules even as it is poised to enter the WTO. Similarly, the collision incident shows that China remains unfamiliar with the rules of interaction, even as it emerges as a new regional power in Asia.

The US has followed international regulations in its dealings with China, but Beijing has chosen to play by its own rules, giving Washington a hard time. How to get the testosterone-fuelled adolescent known as China to learn some international manners so that he will not become a threat to everyone, is an important task facing the US and the rest of the world.

                                                               Yours Sincerely,