Ma calls
for ‘tolerance’ in Chinese dissident’s case
CONVENTION SIGNATORIES: While
President Ma did not call for Liu Xiaobo’s release, he urged China to tolerate
those who express themselves peacefully:
By Ko Shu-ling
STAFF REPORTER
Sunday, Dec 27, 2009, Page 1
President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) yesterday broke his silence on the sentencing of
Chinese dissident Liu Xiaobo (劉曉波) and urged Beijing to tolerate those who
express their opinions by peaceful means, but stopped short of calling for his
release.
Liu, a co-author of “Charter 08,” which calls for an end to Chinese Communist
Party dominance and the implementation of a constitutional democracy in China,
was sentenced to 11 years in prison by a Beijing court on Friday.
Ma yesterday said he has been pursuing democracy and human rights since he began
his political career. He also made tremendous effort to implement such policies
since he took office in May last year, he said.
As the two sides of the Taiwan Strait are signatories of two UN rights
conventions — the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights and the
International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights — Ma said he
hoped both sides would give those who voice their opinions in a peaceful manner
the most tolerance possible.
Yesterday marked Ma’s first comments on Liu’s case since his sentencing on
Friday, while the international community was swift to denounce Beijing.
Washington demanded Liu’s immediate release. The Swedish EU presidency condemned
the decision, saying it raised concerns about freedom of speech and the right to
a fair trial in China. UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Navi Pillay said in
a statement that the verdict cast “an ominous shadow” over China’s commitments
to protect human rights.
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) spokeswoman Hsiao Bi-khim (蕭美琴) on Friday
accused Ma, who during his term as Taipei mayor championed the rights of
Tiananmen Massacre protesters, of staying silent on China’s gross violations of
human rights after taking office.
DPP Chairperson Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) asked Ma to request Liu’s release, saying the
Ma administration had remained silent since Liu was taken into custody more than
a year ago. Such silence sent a wrong message to the world that the Taiwanese
government did not oppose Beijing’s suppression of democratic reformers, she
said.
On Friday, the Mainland Affairs Council (MAC) said Liu’s sentence serves as a
test of the Chinese government’s approach to dealing with human rights.
The MAC said it hoped Beijing would step up its efforts to implement the two
covenants to demonstrate its respect for human rights and the protection of
universal values.
Self-determination group completes nationwide walk
By Tseng Wei-chen
and Shih Hsiu-chuan
STAFF REPORTERS
Sunday, Dec 27, 2009, Page 3
Members of a group supporting the idea that “the people are the master of the
country” finished a walk around Taiwan, which started at Taipei City’s Lungshan
Temple on Nov. 8, reaching their starting point yesterday after walking about
1,030km.
Lin I-hsiung (林義雄), a long-time democracy stalwart and former Democratic
Progressive Party (DPP) chairman who initiated the campaign, urged the public to
pay attention to its appeal.
Having staged nationwide marches in 1994, 1997 and 2002 to call for a referendum
on the Fourth Nuclear Power Plant that is currently under construction, this
time Lin organized the march after a proposal by the DPP to hold a plebiscite on
the government’s plan to sign an economic cooperation framework agreement (ECFA)
with China was rejected by the Cabinet’s Referendum Review Committee.
The walk called for a referendum on any cross-strait agreements, including an
ECFA, and amendments to some articles of the Referendum Law (公民投票法), which
members of the group said repressed rather than ensured people’s right to hold a
referendum.
During the last leg of the march from the Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hall to Lungshan
Temple yesterday, participants took a break at Da-an Forest Park, with those who
walked more than 800km in 49 days sharing their experiences.
Chen Li-kuei (陳麗貴) said she attended the campaign to express her wish that the
government let the people of Taiwan determine the country’s destiny.
“It’s an ingenuous plan of action and we behaved with the strictest discipline
to earn the approval of others. No matter where we were, in every corner of
Taiwan, there were people joining us or giving us donations. We felt really
appreciated and will continue our efforts,” Chen said.
Lin Min-da (林銘達), a retired teacher who found walking difficult, said he started
to practice walking everyday when he heard of the campaign six months before it
began.
“I am worried that beautiful Taiwan will be sold out if people do not come
forward to fight for self-determination,” Lin said.
Chiang Liang-min (江良民), who has fourth stage colorectal cancer, said that this
“silent” and “peaceful” campaign was more effective than fierce opposition.
During the campaign, participants were required to wear the same T-shirt and
leaf hats and were prohibited from talking, smoking or eating while walking.
Hsu Fan-ting (許芳庭), who completed the whole journey, said she believed that any
goal could be achieved peacefully through perseverance, while violence would
only cause more violence.
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FESTIVAL
FOR TAIWAN Kaohsiung Mayor Chen Chu, center, is surrounded by festivalgoers at a festival organized by the Hot Kaohsiung Web site in Kaohsiung City’s Central Park yesterday. PHOTO: CNA |
China ties
not helping: former SEF head
WEALTH INEQUITIES: The former
head of the nation’s top China negotiator said people feel that cross-strait
ties have advanced hastily under President Ma Ying-jeou
STAFF WRITER, WITH CNA
Sunday, Dec 27, 2009, Page 3
Closer economic and trade ties with China have not helped improve Taiwan’s
economy or Taiwanese people’s lives, but have instead created inequitable
distribution of wealth, a former chairman of the Straits Exchange Foundation (SEF)
said.
Taiwan and China last week held a fourth round of cross-strait talks in Taichung.
A total of 12 agreements, including three from the latest Taichung talks, have
been forged between the two sides since the first round of talks in June last
year to increase economic cooperation.
Hung Chi-chang (洪奇昌), who chaired the SEF when the Democratic Progressive Party
(DPP) was in power, said the lack of apparent benefits from closer ties has led
many people to feel that cross-strait development has progressed too quickly,
and he urged the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) government to address public
misgivings.
Hung said many people thought ties with China proceeded too slowly before
President Ma Ying-jeou’s (馬英九) inauguration in May last year and too fast
afterward.
“The reason for such a perception is that the public does not think society has
felt economic growth or a substantive improvement in their lives through closer
cross-strait ties,” Hung said.
People also feel relations between Taiwan and China have grown too close because
their expectations have not been met, he said.
That, coupled with the perception that the benefits accrued by large enterprises
from closer cross-strait ties have not filtered down to other layers of society,
have resulted in a concern over the unequal distribution of the economic gains
made through closer cross-strait ties, he said.
He also said that Taiwan’s international trade was already greater than GDP, and
that Taiwan’s original equipment manufacturing-oriented industries should
transform or upgrade.
Taiwan’s financial structure is not sound, with tax revenues accounting for only
13 percent of GDP, compared with 18 percent in the past, he said. In contrast,
the figure is about 35 percent in Scandinavian countries, which often place high
in international competitiveness rankings.
Taiwan’s outstanding government debt ratio is also approaching its legal
ceiling, which he said would be a potential threat to Taiwan’s national
competitiveness.
Meanwhile, Mainland Affairs Council Chairwoman Lai Shin-yuan (賴幸媛) on Friday
countered criticism that the talks have put a dent in Taiwanese sovereignty and
could endanger some local industrial sectors.
Taiwan has held several rounds of talks with China without undermining the
country’s sovereignty, Lai said.
“All the talks have been conducted with the aim of safeguarding national
sovereignty, promoting industrial development and taking care of people’s
lives,” she said.
Reporters,
protesters question police force’s loyalty
By Jenny W. Hsu 許維恕
STAFF REPORTER
Sunday, Dec 27, 2009, Page 3
The visit of China’s Association for Relations Across the Taiwan Strait (ARATS)
Chairman Chen Yunlin (陳雲林) last week drew protests, prompting the government to
dispatch a large contingent of police to secure his personal safety.
While the police said their foremost task was the security of the public during
Chen’s visit, many protesters and reporters covering the event questioned police
loyalty to taxpayers.
In a bid to oppose President Ma Ying-jeou’s (馬英九) China-leaning policies, the
Democratic Progressive Party on Sunday organized a street rally in Taichung City
where the cross-strait negotiation was held.
During the march, protesters complained that several officers publicly “laughed
and mocked” them as “crazy fanatics.”
That night, police officer Sung Kuo-tong (宋國棟) injured two protesters during a
scuffle by using pepper spray, which is unauthorized equipment.
Although the officer was later penalized and transferred, the Taichung City
Police Bureau said Sung acted appropriately and the demerit he received was for
carrying a non-standard weapon, not for assaulting the members of the public.
What irritated the reporters the most about the police, however, was its lack of
transparency.
At a protest on Tuesday night by a group of 80-plus pro-independence advocates,
the police dispatched an anti-riot squad and what seemed to be several hundred
regular uniformed police.
When asked for an exact figure on how many police were mobilized to deal with
the protesters — mostly comprised of elderly citizens — the police refused to
give an answer and sent reporters on a wild goose chase by telling them to talk
to their commanding officers and then pointing in different directions.
One officer said that he forgot his own name when asked by reporters, and
several said they did not know who was in charge.
“Is it necessary for the government to send a riot police squad armed with
wooden sticks to deal with me? I am just a 70-year-old with a knee problem
participating in a non-violent sit-in,” a retired teacher from Taipei said.
For four days, the Taichung Police Bureau’s media contact refused to answer his
telephone, frustrating reporters who needed more information on police actions.
On Wednesday night, after a police officer sustained mild head trauma after
falling from a protest truck, reporters asked if the bureau would disclose video
footage that would prove the officer was pushed, and did not fall on his own as
the protesters stated.
Yu Hui-mao (余輝茂), the deputy bureau chief, said releasing the video was out of
the question because all investigations must be kept confidential. Within half
an hour, however, the bureau made a complete turnaround and told reporters a
copy of the video clip would be released to the media for broadcast.
When asked by the ***Taipei Times*** as to why the police bureau had made the
u-turn, Yu said he received approval from his superior to release the video,
adding: “You had a problem with me when I didn’t want to release the video and
now you have a problem with me because I am releasing it.”
A number of Taichung City residents also complained that the huge number of
police has inconvenienced them.
“It is laughable that thousands of police were mobilized to protect one man who
has never paid and never will a single penny of tax in Taiwan,” a cab driver
said.
Factory owner Wu Chin-kuo (吳進國) questioned why Taichung City Mayor Jason Hu
(胡志強) was willing to devote so much manpower to protecting one person during
Chen's five-day visit, but spent so little on curbing the city’s gang problem
during the rest of his term.
Good signs
are not quite enough
Sunday, Dec 27, 2009, Page 8
On Dec. 21, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) chairman Morris Chang
(張忠謀) announced a new compensation system for the chipmaker’s employees next
year, including a 15 percent increase in base salaries beginning on Jan. 1.
In a video message, Chang told employees that the hike in base salaries was part
of structural changes to the company’s compensation system. But the move also
showed that TSMC is working to attract and retain employees amid intensifying
competition.
Following a series of actions to cut or freeze salaries beginning late last year
to cope with the global financial crisis, several Taiwanese technology companies
have now announced — or are considering — upward adjustments in employee
paychecks.
According to various reports, Acer Inc, Compal Electronics Inc, AU Optronics
Corp and MediaTek Inc are among the iconic tech firms likely to raise employee
salaries next year. Companies in the real estate sector such as Sinyi Realty Co,
Farglory Land Development Co and Chong Hong Construction Co are also reportedly
planning salary hikes.
Even so, it is too early to say the economy is on a firm footing and growing
across the board. Last week, a local job bank’s poll showed that 37 percent of
local firms have considered raising employee salaries next year, while 58
percent had not.
The truth is that many Taiwanese companies are still fighting to stay in
business and are hesitant to hire for want of solid signs of recovery. That’s
why the nation’s unemployment rate fell only to 5.86 percent last month from
5.96 percent the previous month — meaning there are still 645,000 people out of
work.
The national statistics bureau said 150,000 jobs would need to be added to the
market before the headline jobless rate can fall below 5 percent. That is a very
challenging goal, though it should be noted that the Council for Economic
Planning and Development last week unveiled targets for next year that include
an unemployment rate of 4.9 percent.
But a serious problem remains: The number of people who have been unemployed for
more than one year — whom statistics officials refer to as “long-term
unemployed” in their surveys — totaled 112,000 last month, up 4,000 from the
previous month and marking the highest monthly level since January 2004.
In addition, the number of unemployed middle-aged and elderly people reached
141,000 last month, up 3,000 from the previous month and the highest in three
months.
The problem facing people in these categories is that they face more obstacles
in getting back into the workforce than any other category of jobseeker. This
predicament poses a potential threat to the finances and stability of a large
number of families in the long term.
Another concern relating to the strength of economic recovery is the continuing
decline in wages in the industrial and services sectors, which in turn hurts
companies and discourages consumer spending.
The decision by some companies to raise employee salaries next year is welcome
news as it points to recovery in their sectors.
However, even though economic growth is likely to be registered next year,
uncertainties remain in the labor market and a noticeable increase in household
income is not likely to emerge anytime soon.
Pros, cons
of a cross-strait ECFA
By Lin Wuu-long 林武郎
Sunday, Dec 27, 2009, Page 8
When President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) came to power in May last year, one important
task was to improve cross-strait ties. In Ma’s words, “The icy ties are just
beginning to thaw and the construction of a bridge [for dialogue] is just
starting.”
His top priority was direct links in trade, transportation and other areas, a
drastic change in policy over previous “indirect” economic links between Taiwan
and China, in which transactions had to transit through Hong Kong.
Moreover, it was a change from the previous arrangement of unilateral economic
transactions to bilateral agreements duly signed by both governments.
One issue that has emerged is talks between the two governments on a
cross-strait economic cooperation framework agreement (ECFA). An ECFA, under the
framework of the WTO, can be summarized as having three integrated components:
First, a free trade agreement (FTA). The FTA would allow no tariffs, in the
spirit of the WTO. Now, Taiwan and China are both members of the world trade
body, but an ECFA as it stands lacks the reciprocity of an FTA. That is, in an
ECFA’s current form, China would be giving up a lot and asking for little from
Taiwan.
Second, liberalization of service sector. Among other services, Taiwan expects
to be the first choice for special privileges from China on banking and finance.
Third, foreign direct investment (FDI) liberalization and protection. Among
other things, this development would include intellectual property protection.
Details of an ECFA began to emerge in concrete form in March. Current debate has
since settled on the following themes: While the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT)
government emphasizes economic benefits for Taiwan, the Democratic Progressive
Party (DPP) has emphasized corrosion of Taiwan’s sovereignty and a heavy
economic dependence on China. The discussion that follows focuses on the
economic aspects of this debate.
President Ma has repeatedly stated the need for negotiations and passage of an
economic agreement with China. The aim is not only to improve cross-strait
relations, but also, and most importantly, to strengthen Taiwan’s international
competitiveness. An agreement would also be the first step in a new era of
attempts by Taiwan to economically integrate with the region.
In the beginning, 60 percent of Taiwanese supported signing an ECFA and major
industry groups immediately voiced support for the initiative.
For instance, the Chinese National Federation of Industries, a Taiwanese
organization, gave conditional support to an ECFA. It urged the government to
sign it next year at the latest. However, it also urged the government to take
several precautionary measures, including avoiding over-reliance on China’s
economy, protecting Taiwan’s business advantages and strengthening cooperation
with the US, Europe and Japan on technology imports.
One immediate advantage for Taiwan would be the increase in the size of its
economy. China, the world’s third-largest economy with an estimated GDP last
year of US$7.973 trillion, has great potential in terms of consumer purchasing
power. It also happens that China is Taiwan’s biggest export partner, accounting
for about 40 percent of exports. Furthermore, China, with a population of 1.3
billion, would increase Taiwan’s economic reach.
An ECFA would also avoid the further marginalization of the Taiwanese economy,
which even now has precious few FTAs with other countries. A statement from the
Ministry of Economic Affairs has argued that, with the FTA between ASEAN and
China to take effect next year, Taiwan’s competitiveness vis a vis ASEAN would
suffer without an ECFA because Chinese customs charges would be 5 percent to 10
percent greater than those applying to ASEAN exporters.
The need for an ECFA is more urgent now given that the grouping of ASEAN 10+1
will include China, that ASEAN 10+3 next year will incorporate Japan and South
Korea in an FTA, and that ASEAN 10+6 will then include Australia, New Zealand
and India. ASEAN is emerging as a strong regional bloc in the 21st century; its
potential, as production base or market, is not to be ignored.
Taiwan is geographically close to ASEAN. Although Taiwan is not part of the
grouping, its economic ties to ASEAN remain very close. In 2007, ASEAN 10+3
accounted for 54 percent of all Taiwanese exports and 75 percent of all
Taiwanese FDI. The addition of China to ASEAN will thus be hazardous to Taiwan
as 40 percent of its exports already go there.
Two reports have also revealed that an ECFA could result in extra GDP growth,
with separate estimates of 1.83 percent and 1.65 percent to 1.72 percent in the
short term. In addition, the unemployment rate was predicted to fall to 2.63
percent.
This is good news, because Taiwan suffered a record 10.78 percent economic
contraction in the first five months of this year. Also, the unemployment rate,
which stayed the same in 2007, increased by 0.23 percent last year and then 1.84
percent in the first five months of this year. All this was caused by
significant negative export growth of 34.84 percent in the first five months of
this year amid the prolonged worldwide economic recession.
An ECFA would also benefit Taiwan’s plastics, petrochemicals, petroleum,
machinery, textiles, coal and steel sectors, according to a study by the Chung-Hwa
Institution for Economic Research. These areas are highly competitive and make
up a substantial proportion of Taiwan’s exports to China. Were an ECFA to end
high tariffs imposed by China, there would be strong growth in Chinese demand
for these products, stimulating production in Taiwan.
As to petrochemicals, the China market absorbs 66 percent of Taiwanese exports.
If an ECFA is signed before China signs an FTA with Japan and South Korea,
Taiwan’s petrochemical suppliers will more than double their share of the
Chinese market, from the current 15 percent to 38 percent.
The textiles industry used to be a big contributor to Taiwan’s foreign currency
earnings in the 1970s and the 1980s. Unfortunately, it has since been cited as a
sunset industry and many have relocated to China and Southeast Asia since the
1990s, not only because of the well-known factor of lower labor costs, but also
because of advantages such as market proximity and ASEAN integration.
The Taiwanese textile industry would be one of the greatest beneficiaries under
an ECFA, with less pressure on firms to relocate to ASEAN states. Without an
ECFA, ASEAN 10+3 would place in jeopardy 12,000 out of the present 200,000 jobs
in the sector.
Finally, Taiwan will attract more FDI. Wages are lower in China, but the quality
of labor and intellectual property protection is more advanced in Taiwan. Thus,
FDI in production could benefit Taiwan even as marketing targets China with its
massive population.
The Ma administration’s push for an ECFA is pragmatic. However, it has not
alleviated growing concerns over Taiwan’s increasing economic dependence on
China or over Chinese efforts to use economic measures to unify with Taiwan
under Beijing’s “one China” policy.
More recently, just over 70 percent of people surveyed wanted a referendum on an
ECFA. Taiwanese therefore want the right to decide on an economic union just as
Europeans had the right to vote on joining the EU.
Opponents to an ECFA raise several points.
One convincing point involves sovereignty. As former president Lee Teng-hui
(李登輝) has suggested, an ECFA could be part of a Chinese plot to hijack Taiwan
economically and thus enforce unification. Lee has also stressed the correctness
of the policy direction during his presidency that Taiwan ought not engage in
direct talks with China until it has democratized.
Second, there is growing concern over the possible negative impact on small and
medium-size enterprises. The organizing secretary of the Hong Kong Confederation
of Trade Unions, Vincent Sung (宋治德), said during a symposium in Taiwan that the
Closer Economic Partnership Arrangement (CEPA) signed by Hong Kong and China in
June 2003 had only benefited multinational corporations and a minority of
special interest groups, and had not revitalized the local manufacturing
industry nor generated an increase in wages. In Hong Kong, employment in
manufacturing fell from 170,000 in 2003 to 140,000 in 2007, while exports fell
by 1.1 percent in 2006 and by 19.1 percent in 2007. He urged Taiwan’s government
to consider this point before signing an ECFA with China.
Third, opponents to an ECFA are not just ideological. Their reservations are
also built on practical aspects of investment. The following illustrates three
different, but related, matters.
China prohibits individuals from investing abroad. That is, almost all Chinese
investment abroad uses state-owned capital, which draws on the political
influence of the Chinese Communist Party. In case of China’s strategic
withdrawal of investment, Taiwan must be prepared to take over key businesses in
the interests of national security.
Two, South Korea has often been cited in the debate because that nation and
Taiwan have had similar processes of economic development. Taiwanese businesses
have diverted investment from the domestic market to China. As a result,
domestic investment as a percentage of GDP has averaged less than 20 percent
over the past eight years.
By contrast, the percentage in South Korea was between 25 percent and 30
percent, or 5 percent to 10 percent higher than Taiwan. The DPP has thus been
proposing something similar to the present South Korean government’s policies on
limiting investment in China and reducing the impact of low Chinese wages. To a
certain extent, the DPP’s position is similar to Lee’s “no haste, be patient”
policy in 1996.
Three, according to the core-periphery theory, it is feared that China will gain
from the hollowing out of capital and technology in Taiwan. The theory predicts
that in interaction between a big economy and a small economy that share the
same language and culture, all production components for capital, talent and
technology in the small economy will gradually gravitate to the larger economy.
Even distinguished Japanese writer Kenichi Ohmae, known for unending praise of
China’s economic growth, warned that it would be unwise to allow China unlimited
or unregulated investment in Taiwan.
Any economic reforms along the line of ECFA will involve income redistribution.
Some people will gain, others will lose. It is not a zero-sum game, however:
Policy choices cannot simply be based on net positive economic gains. Wisdom
must also play a part.
The democratic nature of Taiwanese society requires public debate and building
up a greater degree of consensus. Thus, the timetable for Taiwan to reach a
formal agreement with China has lengthened; a formal agreement is now not
expected until early next year.
The KMT has unanimously decided to support an ECFA based on the very convincing
argument that it will strengthen Taiwan’s international business
competitiveness. In a democratic society, however, the majority does not dictate
to the minority, and the minority should be able to present constructive
counterproposals. An eventual consensus on an ECFA between the governing and
opposition parties will be a good test of Taiwanese democracy.
Lin Wuu-long is an adjunct professor at
the University of the West in Los Angeles, California, former head of enterprise
management research at the UN and a former consultant to the Council for
Economic Planning and Development.
The West
wrings its hands as Beijing laughs at human rights
The risible process that led
to the conviction of Liu Xiaobo is evidence enough that China thinks foreign
pressure can be brushed off on matters of liberty
By Andrew Jacobs
NY TIMES NEWS SERVICE, BEIJING
Sunday, Dec 27, 2009, Page 9
The harsh sentence handed down on Friday to Liu Xiaobo (劉曉波), one of China’s
most prominent campaigners for democracy and human rights, prompted strong
rebukes in the US and Europe, but it also raised fresh questions over whether
the West has much leverage over a government that is increasingly self-assured
on the world stage.
By sentencing Liu to 11 years in prison for subversion, the Chinese government
sent a chilling message to advocates of political reform and free speech. Liu,
53, a former literature professor who helped draft a manifesto last December
that demanded open elections and the rule of law, was convicted after a closed
two-hour trial on Wednesday in which his lawyers were allowed less than 20
minutes to state his case.
But many experts on Chinese politics said that Liu’s conviction on vague charges
of “incitement to subvert state power” through his writing was also an
unmistakable signal to the West that China would not yield to international
pressure when it came to human rights. During his visit to China last month,
President Barack Obama raised Liu’s case with President Hu Jintao (胡錦濤). Leaders
of the EU have been pressing for his release.
But a spokesman for China’s Foreign Ministry described such pressure on Tuesday
as “gross interference in China’s judicial internal affairs.” The next day, more
than two dozen US and European diplomats who sought to observe the trial were
barred from the courthouse.
“If China’s Communist Party wanted to advertise to the world that they will do
anything to protect their power and use the judiciary to accomplish that, then
the persecution of Liu Xiaobo was a perfect vehicle,” Jerome Cohen, an expert on
China’s legal system and a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations,
said on Friday.
The US State Department issued a statement on Friday calling on China to release
Liu, saying that the “persecution of individuals for the peaceful expression of
political views is inconsistent with internationally recognized norms of human
rights.”
German Chancellor Angela Merkel said she was “dismayed” by the sentence. The UN
said Liu’s conviction had thrown “an ominous shadow” over China’s commitments to
human rights.
Such pointed criticisms are unlikely to have much effect, many China analysts
said. Hu assumed power in 2004 after a period of modest legal reforms. But under
his leadership, the government has presided over a tightening of Internet
restrictions, the repression of rights lawyers and the persecution of
intellectuals who call for greater transparency and an end to single-party rule.
Those who thought that the leadership might loosen its controls for the Beijing
Olympics last year were disheartened by the crackdown that took place to prevent
people who wanted to stage demonstrations.
Edward Friedman, an expert on Chinese politics at the University of Wisconsin in
Madison, said many people in the West had been clinging to the misguided notion
that China’s economic development would quickly lead to political
liberalization.
“It’s clear that what matters most to the Chinese Communist Party is the
survival of the regime and their monopoly on power,” he said.
Many human rights advocates partly blame Western political leaders for putting
up with China’s growing intolerance of domestic dissent. They contend that as
China’s economic power has expanded, the US and Europe have been softening calls
for human rights.
They were especially critical of US Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton’s
visit to Beijing last February, arguing that human rights took a back seat to an
agenda focused on economic concerns and efforts to gain China’s cooperation in
dealing with Iran and North Korea.
Many human rights advocates were also critical of Obama’s decision to put off a
meeting with the Dalai Lama, the Tibetan spiritual leader, shortly before the
president’s visit to Beijing. The move, they said, was designed to avoid
offending China.
The White House insists that it is committed to promoting freedom, but says that
it is trying to make its case without the public hectoring favored by the Bush
and Clinton administrations. Hillary Clinton has called the approach “principled
pragmatism.”
Phelim Kine, a researcher with Human Rights Watch in Hong Kong, said quiet
diplomacy was valuable at times, but that without real pressure from the US, its
largest trading partner, China had no incentive to improve its human rights
record.
“In the aftermath of the tragic conviction of Liu Xiaobo, we really need to
think about how the US is going to engage China and make sure that there are
real benchmarks for progress,” he said.
He and others maintain that the US and its allies must break free from a
mentality that fears the economic might of a rising China. The US can no longer
prod China on human rights through the annual battle over “most-favored nation”
trading status, because China is now a member of the WTO. But human rights
advocates say that the White House still has substantial leverage when it comes
to trade.
And while China may hold hundreds of billions of dollars of the US government’s
debt in the form of Treasury bonds and other Treasury securities, some analysts
play down concerns about the possibility of China retaliating against US
pressure over human rights by selling off its holdings. Gordon Chang (章家敦),
author of The Coming Collapse of China, said that the Chinese government simply
had nowhere else to park its swelling foreign reserves.
China’s huge trade imbalance with the US, Chang said, is a potential cudgel that
Washington should be prepared to use.
“President Obama can get on the phone with Hu Jintao and say these are the
things you need to do,” he said.
“We are extremely indulgent about irresponsible Chinese conduct when it comes to
human rights,” Chang added. “We are encouraging the very type of behavior we’re
trying to prevent.”
The Chinese leadership is still nervous about the potential for domestic unrest
that could threaten its power. Although not timid in its prosecution of Liu, the
authorities made sure that coverage of his trial stayed out of the state-run
news media.
Even as it questioned hundreds of people who put their signatures on Charter 08,
the manifesto that Liu helped to draft, government censors made sure that any
mention of the document was quickly scrubbed from the Internet after it became
public a year ago.
There was one exception, however. On Friday, the English-language edition of
Xinhua, the official news agency, published a brief item about Liu’s sentencing.
The article said the court “had strictly followed the legal procedures in this
case and fully protected Liu’s litigation rights.”
The Chinese-language version of Xinhua, however, made no mention of the verdict.
Instead, it declared 2009 the “year of citizens’ rights.”