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ECFA is a betrayal of Taiwan¡¦s economy
By Hwang Kun-hu ¶À±Xªê
Friday, Jul 02, 2010, Page 8
After months of negotiations and much dispute in Taiwan, the
Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) was finally signed on June 29.
Both the Taiwanese and Chinese governments were visibly delighted at this
outcome. Both hailed the agreement as bringing great benefits to Taiwan, saying
it would prove a much needed shot in the arm for the economy.
The Taiwanese government was doubly pleased to have secured the ¡§early harvest¡¨
list, which offers immediate tariff concessions or exemptions for 539 Taiwanese
items exported to China and 267 Chinese items imported here. Unfortunately,
those promoting the deal do not seem to have noticed that signing the agreement
represents a betrayal of Taiwan¡¦s economy.
According to Straits Exchange Foundation (SEF) Chairman Chiang Pin-kung (¦¿¤þ©[),
the effect of the deal will not really become apparent for another six months,
during which time a lot still needs to be cleared up through ongoing
negotiations. These talks, he added, are sure to stir up a lot more disputes on
both sides of the Taiwan Strait. Chiang pointedly said that not only was the
ECFA signing obviously not going to solve every single problem, it was actually
more likely to focus attention on even bigger and more intractable problems in
cross-strait relations.
If this is true, and many serious issues have yet to be addressed, why was the
government in such a rush to get the ECFA signed? Haven¡¦t they just set
themselves up for more headaches down the road by inking the agreement now when
so many questions still need to be dealt with?
Renowned Japanese business strategist Kenichi Ohmae claimed in a recent lecture
given at the Presidential Office that signing the ECFA was a smart thing to do
and called the agreement an ¡§elaborately designed vitamin¡¨ that could help
stimulate Taiwan¡¦s economy. He said that Taiwan should press on and not stop at
the ECFA. It should rather use the agreement as a stepping-stone and look to
sign a free-trade agreement (FTA) with China at some point in the not too
distant future.
However, Ohmae ignored the fact that any one kind of vitamin is not going to be
suitable for everyone. Moreover, why was it so imperative that an ECFA be signed
before an FTA?
Taiwan is legally able to sign an FTA with any country it wants under the
framework of the WTO. Unfortunately that is only true if China is not determined
to prevent it from doing so.
Everyone is aware that the government is likely to press on with its pro-China
policies. Its intentions are quite transparent ¡X eventual unification with
China.
Even though both the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Chinese Communist
Party continue to wax lyrical about the economic advantages of the ECFA, they
say it is much better than any international agreement and will bring unlimited
benefits to both sides of the Taiwan Strait. Do they really expect us to take
this argument at face value without any corroborating evidence?
There is another fact the Taiwanese public needs to understand, namely that the
ECFA is nothing like an international agreement. It is in effect bait dangled by
China in front of the KMT. I strongly urge everyone to take a long, hard look at
the ECFA and consider whether it really is all it¡¦s cracked up to be and what it
will actually mean for their own livelihoods and the next generation.
Hwang Kun-hu is president fo the Taiwan Friends Association.
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