EDITORIAL: Diaoyutais
poll silly, but sinister
A recent survey jointly conducted by the Chinese-language China Times and the
Global Times claims that a majority of Taiwanese and Chinese support cooperation
between Taiwan and China to resolve the dispute with Japan over the Diaoyutai
Islands (³¨³½¥x) ¡X which Tokyo calls the Senkaku Islands.
Before Taiwan sets sail for the contested islets and claims its rightful
property, let¡¦s take a closer look at the numbers and what they really say. And
prior to that, it would be useful to pause for a second and restate a few
caveats: The China Times is owned by the Want Want China Times Group, whose
chairman ¡X Taiwan¡¦s wealthiest person ¡X Tsai Eng-meng (½²l©ú), made his fortune in
China and is a known supporter of Beijing.
For its part, the Global Times is affiliated with the Chinese Communist Party
and has a long tradition of publishing highly nationalistic, and oftentimes
militaristic, propaganda. It cannot be trusted to honestly handle an opinion
poll.
So here it goes: According to the poll, 85.3 percent of the 1,502 people
interviewed in China are in favor of cooperation with Taiwan on the Diaoyutais,
while 8.8 percent are against it. In Taiwan, 51.1 percent of the 1,500 people
polled said they approved of cooperating with China, while 27.5 percent opposed
it.
Of course, it would have been helpful if a definition of ¡§cooperation¡¨ had been
provided, which it was not. This is not unimportant, as Chinese claims to the
Diaoyutais stem from strong nationalistic sentiment and historical grievances
vis-a-vis the Japanese, emotions that for the most part do not apply to
Taiwanese, who continue to regard Japanese as friends and a source of cultural
and artistic emulation. Moreover, with the exception of a small clique of ardent
and self-appointed Diaoyutai nationalists, the great majority of Taiwanese could
not care less about the fate of the islets in the East China Sea.
Hence, resolving the conflict could very well mean different things for
Taiwanese and Chinese respondents. For the Chinese, resolution probably means
taking over the Diaoyutais and their surrounding waters; for Taiwanese, it
likely means some form of accommodation between all the parties involved.
The same survey then tells us that up to 90.8 percent of Chinese respondents
support military action against Japan over the Diaoyutais, if necessary, to
resolve the conflict, and that 41.2 percent of Taiwanese also support use of
force. While it is very likely that more than nine in 10 Chinese would support
military action to defend their country¡¦s claims to the islands, it is difficult
to see how more than four in 10 Taiwanese would favor force of arms to resolve
the matter.
As with the previous question, it boils down to differences in one¡¦s definition
of ¡§force,¡¨ or it is sheer misrepresentation on the pollsters¡¦ part, perhaps
stemming from a skewed selection of respondents. Taiwanese simply do not care
enough about the sovereignty of the Diaoyutais to risk going to war ¡X a war they
know they would certainly lose ¡X against their longstanding ally Japan.
The timing of the release of the poll is itself suspicious, coming as it does
amid calls by Beijing for Taiwan to cooperate with it in its territorial
disputes in the East and South China Seas. More than once in recent weeks,
official Chinese media have alleged that ¡§Taiwanese compatriots¡¨ were working
with China on territorial claims, using isolated incidents involving a handful
of Taiwanese to justify such claims.
The Taiwanese government has repeatedly said it would not cooperate with China
on the disputes. Could it be that pro-China media are using public opinion polls
to pressure Taipei into changing its position?
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