Taiwan
Tati Cultural
And Educational Foundation
B16F, No.3 Ta-tun 2nd St., Nan-tun Dist.
Taichung 408, Taiwan, R.O.C
September 22, 2001.
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Dear
Mr. Donald H. Rumsfeld,
It is our pleasure to write you
our concern. We don’t know why China should say such kind of “3
conditions over anti-terrorists” and self-talking on “we should
not have double standards”?
China denied on Sept. 20, 2001 it
had set conditions for backing a global war on terrorism in asking for US
support for Beijing’s struggle against those it considers separatists
and terrorists, including Muslim militants.
But Foreign Ministry spokesman Zhu
Bangzao reiterated an appeal that there should be “no double
standards” in an international campaign against terror in the wake of
last week’s attacks on New York and Washington.
And he repeated China’s
demand that retaliation for the attacks should be based on concrete
evidence, not harm innocent civilians and comply with the principles of
the UN charter.
On Tuesday, Zhu had appeared to
indicate that China would expect US cooperation in return for its support.
“The United States has asked
China to provide assistance in the fight against terrorism,” he told
Tuesday’s news conference.
“China, by the same token,
has reasons to ask the United States to give its support and understanding
in the fight against terrorism and separatists,” he said. “We should
not have double standards.”
In Taiwan side, the media's
exposure of the sighting of three Chinese spy ships off Taiwan's northeast
coast last year prevented the military from tracking the Chinese vessels
for half a year, a defense official said.
Following the media report,
which detailed how Taiwan's military tracked the Chinese ships, defense
officials were unable to make similar discoveries for up to six months
after the incident. The details provided
in the news report allowed the Chinese military to evade Taiwan's coastal
surveillance systems, the defense official said.
The report was made public by
the Chinese-language Power News on May 19 last year after three Chinese
spy ships were spotted off Suao in northeastern Taiwan.
The report described in detail the
coordinates of where the spy ships were discovered as well as the distance
of the ships from the coast as they were sighted.
The information was discovered by
the military to have been provided by an army major, Liu Chih-chung, who
has been sentenced to nine years in prison for leaking "classified
information" in a ruling by the military court. The major is
appealing his case to the military's supreme court.
"The people may have no
idea how damaging to the military the information leaked by the major was.
For as long as six months, we were unable to discover any Chinese spy
ships off Taiwan. It was because of the Power News report that the Chinese
military knew the capabilities of our coastal surveillance systems,"
the defense official said.
"We were then very worried
since the Chinese spy ships could move freely off Taiwan's coastline as if
they were `invisible.' Fortunately, we solved the problem by upgrading our
coastal surveillance systems. But it cost us NT$200 million," the
official said.
"We have been reluctant to
tell the public what kind of damage the Power News report did to the
military. We keep silent partly to prevent the army major, who leaked the
sighting of the Chinese spy ships to Power News, from being punished more
severely," he said.
"According to military
regulations, the maximum penalty for the army major could be life
imprisonment or death. Now we've just given him a prison term of nine
years."
The defense official used a naval
official surnamed Liao as an example of typical military sentencing. Liao
was given life imprisonment because he passed on a piece of classified
information to a retired officer who was his former colleague at the
navy's general headquarters.
Liao is still serving his term in
prison as he was convicted only six years ago. Liao's disclosure of
military secrets was discovered seven years ago after a navy
investigation.
In comparison, the penalty given
to Liu for leaking information to Power News is much lighter, the official
said.
"It is true that the Chief of
the General Staff, General Tang Yao-ming, has instructed authorities to
severely punish Liu and other similar offenders. But considering the
damage he brought to the military, the nine-year prison term is really the
minimum punishment the military could give to him," he said.
On the other side, the Chinese
government has excluded the Swiss-owned bank Credit Suisse First Boston
from a US$10 billion sale of Chinese company shares in an apparent move to
punish the bank for helping Minister of Finance Yen Ching-chang arrange
his Taiwan investment roadshows in Europe in June and July. Beijing's move
has also caused other foreign banks, including Goldman Sachs and Merrill
Lynch, to withdraw from plans to help Yen with an investment trip to the
US.
The Credit-Suisse incident shows
that the so-called "manufacture in China but process orders and do
R&D, logistics and procurement in Taiwan" model is not feasible.
It also shows the high risks facing Taiwanese banks entering China.
In fact, Beijing's move was to be
expected. This author has repeatedly warned that it is not feasible to
move production to China and keep logistics and R&D in Taiwan. It
takes a massive amount of capital to build production facilities which,
once built, don't move. But operations, like logistics and
order-processing, can be moved overnight from Taipei to Shanghai once
Beijing makes the demand. Who would dare procrastinate? Not Western
companies, much less the Taiwanese.
Personnel, computers, mobile
phones -- all these can be moved any time. Think about it. Will Beijing
still let you process orders in Taiwan but carry out production in China
by remote control after Taiwan has pumped its key production and capital
resources into China? It only takes common sense to make a judgment on
this. But business incentives cause people to lose their wisdom. The
"westward march" clamor has prevailed both before and after the
Economic Development Advisory Conference.
Also, the idea of building
national security on the back of economic globalization is feasible only
under certain conditions -- one of which is that Taiwan's economy must not
be shackled to China's. Unfortunately, Taiwanese businesses both large and
small are moving in the other direction.
Over the past 10 years, Taiwan has
poured US$100 billion in investments into China. "March west"
theorists apparently don't think it's enough. They blame the government
for causing businesses to lose opportunities.
Strangely enough, South Korea only
invested US$106 million in China from January to May this year. At the
same time, the closure of South Korean-owned factories and the
withdrawal of South Korean capital from China amounted to US$101 million.
So the nation's the actual net investment was only US$5 million.
But what about Taiwan? Taiwanese
invested more than US$5 billion in China in the first half of this year
alone (including the capital that entered China via the US, Hong Kong and
Singapore). At a single meeting on Aug. 31, the Ministry of Economic
Affairs' Investment Review Committee approved 17 applications for
investment in China totaling US$152 million.
Is it that the South Korean
businesses are so foolish that they are slow to take up positions in
China? Why has South Korea managed to
survive without going to China? It is interesting to note that South
Korea, which has not boldly marched into China, posted economic growth of
8.8 percent last year, 3.7 percent in the first quarter of this year, and
2.7 percent in the second quarter.
In comparison, Taiwan, which
poured US$10 billion into China last year and another US$5 billion in the
first half of this year, saw a negative economic growth rate of -2.37
percent in the second quarter.
In tackling the global economic
slowdown, South Korea's strategy has been to solidify its foundations and
reduce investments in other countries. Taiwan is doing exactly the
opposite, with its businesses demanding greater access to China.
Taiwan Stock Exchange Chairman Lin
Jong-hsiung said recently, "It's absurd to say we can devise a
mechanism to let capital flow back here." In fact, all this talk of a
capital flow-back mechanism, of "doing R&D in Taiwan,
manufacturing in China" is simply building castles in the sky. It was
all cooked up to rationalize the "march west" policy.
Easing restrictions on investment
in China will bring only result in the hollowing out and marginalization
of Taiwan's economy. Once China has absorbed enough of Taiwan's capital
and industries, once Taiwan's economy has been gutted, one order -- even
one insinuation -- from Beijing will bring down all those fantasies about
procurement centers, supply chain headquarters, orders and logistics and
capital flow-back mechanisms.
If Beijing's recent move has
inadvertently awakened the people of Taiwan and their policymakers, if it
has caused them to abandon unrealistic fantasies and given them a thorough
understanding of the need for effective management of investments in
China, then that will be one big silver lining to the dark clouds over
Taiwan.
Taiwan Huang Tien-lin is a
national policy advisor to the A-bian president, said that …
In our viewpoints, that Taiwan
could be defeated by communist China for its political and economic
pressure. We thought that only US Taiwan policy which firm pledge of
support for Taiwan in face of any Chinese attack on the island can save it
on critical.
So, Taiwan needs your help.
Yours
Sincerely,
Yang Hsu-Tung.
President
Taiwan Tati Cultural
And Educational
Foundation |